Low near Costa Rica

Over the last 24 hours we have been following a broad area of low pressure near Costa Rica in Central America. It is looking better on satellite imagery as it meanders over the warm waters of the western Caribbean. It is almost stationary and because of this it has plenty of fuel to grow....NHC is giving it a 30-50% chance of development in the next 48 hours.



Early model runs suggest it could go just about anywhere, with some taking it due north, others, west and some just keep it over the area.

NHC has a recon plane on stand by for Wednesday just in case they need to check it out and get more info. For the time being, all we can do is watch since it is sitting over a climatological favored area for intensification.