Watching one, Tracking Two

Posted by Vivian Gonzalez

South Florida we are watching an area of disturbed weather located over the Bahamas producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is moving Northwest at 10mph and will move through Florida on Saturday night. Before it does so, the National Hurricane Center is giving it a low chance of 10% to develop. Some of the computer model runs have it moving West and there is one outlier model moving it North-Northeast. Either which way you look at it, we have a good chance of rain through Monday. In fact, heavy downpours are expected, as well as flooding of urban areas.

The first area we are tracking is Tropical Storm Ernesto. It is looking healthier on satellite imagery and is a little stronger as of Saturday morning. Sustained winds are now at 60mph and Ernesto is expected to become a Category one hurricane by Sunday afternoon South of Jamaica. The latest forecast track has Ernesto moving straight through the Yucatan peninsula as a Category one hurricane by Wednesday evening. However, interest between the Western tip of Cuba and the Yucatan should closely monitor the progress of Ernesto. It will eventually emerge into the Gulf of Mexico beyond day five. As of now a tropical storm watch is in place for Jamaica.

As for the second area we are tracking, it is newly upgraded Tropical Storm Florence. It is located over 300 miles West of the Southernmost Cape Verde Islands. Sustained winds are at 40mph and it is moving West-Northwest at 16mph. The latest forecast shows that it will downgrade to a depression in the next two days and then become a remnant area of low pressure by the end of next week in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. This is because Florence will encounter a rough environment with dry air in it's path. There is plenty of time to watch it, in case anything changes.

Have a wonderful weekend South Florida and make it a safe one!

Vivian Gonzalez

Meteorologist

WSVN Channel 7

White Hot Long Weekend

Posted by Vivian Gonzalez

A white hot day is underway... Today we will have a very similar situation with high temperatures reaching the low 90s. However, it will feel hotter because the humidity levels are high. Record heat is possible in Miami. The forecast is calling for a high of 92 degrees, old record is 94 set back in 1989.

Hurricane Season Outlook

Posted by Phil Ferro

2013 NHC Forecast   And so it begins. With the release of NOAA's seasonal outlook, I officially ramp up the Tropical Blog for 2013. This is what NOAA says we can expect for the 6-month season, which gets underway June 1.  

It's Official...

Posted by Brent Cameron

It shouldn't come as a surprise, (but yes) the start of the south Florida "rainy season" has begun!   According to the National Weather Service, the start date officially began on Saturday May 18, close to the median start of May 20.  Our rainy season lasts for 5-months, ending around the third week of October. 

Still On Flood Watch

Posted by Phil Ferro

Wet and Soggy Work Week

Clouds with hints of sunshine will be the routine over the next couple of days. The push of more warm, moist air will amp up the instability over South Florida tonight bringing a chance for heavy rain. A Flood Watch is in effect for the Miami-Dade and Broward Counties until 10pm. An area of low pressure sweeping to the north will keep a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms at the start of the weekend.