Still Watching 3........
The Storm Station is on Tropic Watch with our eyes on 3 areas.
First lets start with Tropical Storm Ernesto soaking the Caribbean and parts of the Yucatan peninsula. Ernesto is expected to make landfall on the Yucatan peninsula by tonight. The system still has winds sustained at 65 mph and the center is located 220 miles East of Chetumal, Mexico. Ernesto is moving W/NW at 14 mph. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast of Belize and Mexico tonight into early Wednesday. Ernesto is forecasted to produce rainfall accumulations of 3-5 inches along the northern coast of Honduras. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2-4 feet. We will be watching Ernesto and is continues its path over the Yucatan.
Next we have Post-Tropical Remnant Low of Florence located 1000 miles east of the Northern Leeward islands. The NHC has stated that the shower activity had increased however environmental conditions are not conducive for redevelopment. This system has a low chance 10% of again becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 20 mph.
And the last area we are watching is a tropical wave that continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development. This system has a low chance a 20% of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Locally our forecast has improved tremendously providing for more sunshine then cloud cover. The recent change in our weather pattern is due to a pocket of drier air moving into South Florida from the Western Atlantic associated with high pressure. This area of high pressure will dominate our weather pattern until Thursday, then models show rain returning by Friday and over the weekend.
Have a great day!
Wsvn Morning Meteorologist