Tropics and Local....
Expect another hot humid day. We have a large dome of high pressure in control of our weather pattern providing for the dry air in the mid-upper levels in the atmosphere. This dry air will suppress any widespread chance of showers in the forecast, providing for a mix of sun and clouds for most of the day. There is a possibility of a stray shower off the ocean breeze or when the sea breeze develops. Otherwise we are forecasting highs in the lower 90's with "feels like" temperatures in the triple digits.
Looking ahead there is a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and Puerto Rico producing some very heavy rain. Forecast models do show that if this moisture holds together it will move westward and could increase our rain chances as early as Friday and stick around for the weekend.
In the Tropics:
Ernesto made landfall last night as a Category 1 hurricane with winds sustained at 85 mph over Mahahual, Mexico. Since then the system has continued to soak the Yucatan causing flooding issues as well as the possibility of mudslides. With the interaction to land Ernesto as weakened to a tropical storm as of the 11 am advisory with winds now at 50 mph. The system will continue on a westward track with the center of the system forecasted to move over the southern Yucatan peninsula later today. Then Ernesto will emerge in the Bay of Campeche tonight and be near the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday.
The other area the National Hurricane Center is watching is over the Eastern Atlantic. This is an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located 700 miles W/SW of the Cape Verde Islands. The system has become slightly better organized and environmental conditions could become better for gradual development over the next few days. For now the NHC is giving this area a 30% chance of tropical cyclone development in the next 48 hours.
Keep it tuned to the Storm Station for the latest!
Wsvn Morning Meteorologist