Enjoy the bright sunshine and the mostly dry weather pattern because it wont last long. Forecast models show an increase in our rain chances starting Friday. The reason for the showers is all due to a tropical wave that is currently located over eastern Cuba and over the Caribbean Sea. This wave is producing heavy rain across Hispaniola and last night caused flooding concerns for the residents that live there.
This is where the forecast gets a little tricky so stay with me!!! There is an upper-level low (over Western Cuba) ahead of this tropical wave, as the wave and the low continue to move "westward" that will help steer the tropical moisture associated with the wave right here into South Florida.
Take a look :
In the tropics:
Tropical Storm Ernesto continues to soak Mexico. As of the 11 am advisory data from a reconnaissance plane indicated that the center of Ernesto is very near or over the coast of Mexico and is moving toward the west at 10 mph. This system has weakened with sustained winds are now at 60 mph it is located 140 miles E/SE of Veracruz, MX. Tropical Storm conditions will continue to affect Veracruz to Chilitepec Mexico. Heavy rain and gusty winds will continue to affect Veracruz, Tabasco Puebla and Oaxace through Friday. The rain could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over the area.
The other area we have continued to watch is in the central Atlantic Ocean located 1000 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. It is an area of low pressure that the NHC is giving a 70% chance of tropical cyclone development in the next 48 hours. Upper-level winds are conducive for development and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days as it moves westward.
Locally get the rain gear out your going to need it for the weekend,
Wsvn Morning Meteorologist