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Vivian Gonzalez

Soggy Weekend ?

Posted by Vivian Gonzalez

South Florida the weekend weather will be a toss up. We have been promoting weekend rain all week long since computer models have been persistent in showing a deep pool of tropical moisture moving in associated with a tropical wave. Now there is a large degree of uncertainty in the forecast.

Based on recent satellite and water vapor imagery trends, it looks like the moisture with the aforementioned tropical wave is splitting up. Therefore, we are going with two possible case scenarios this weekend.

Scenario One: The moisture holds with this tropical wave and we will see periods of rain and clouds all weekend long.

Scenario Two: The moisture splits by having a batch moving North away from the Bahamas and Florida and another moving into the Caribbean. This will translate in just a few typical type showers and storms inland and not as wet of a weekend.

We are hoping for scenario two!

Tropical Update:

Tropical Depression Seven: The National Hurricane Center is stating that Tropical Depression Seven could become Tropical Storm Gordon by Saturday morning before reaching the Windward Islands. However, the latest forecast track dissipates this system into an open wave in 72 hours. The reason why they feel this system won't last too long once it enters into the Caribbean, is because the environment will be very hostile with high wind shear despite all the warm water available.

Area of low pressure East of Cape Verde Islands: Shower and thunderstorm activity has not been very impressive and it appears it will be moving into colder water in the next couple of days. This will not give much time for it to further organize. The National Hurricane Center is giving it a medium chance to develop. Long range computer models are showing that it will experience a weakness in the Bermuda high that will curve it in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean and not be a bother to anyone other than the shipping lanes.

Have a wonderful weekend South Florida and make it a safe one!

Vivian Gonzalez

Meteorologist

WSVN Channel 7

Posted 08/10/12, 6:43pm
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