New Tropical System
Posted by Phil Ferro
Nothing but Normal in South Florida
Clouds will linger over South Florida as we keep chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday night. Expect a typical Thursday as an area of high pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean continues an onshore flow sparking sea breeze storms. We cannot rule out passing showers, but the bulk of the moisture will be inland from possible afternoon thunderstorms.
A New Tropical System
Tropical depression #7 is churning south of Puerto Rico moving northwest at 9mph. The system is approximately 130 miles south of San Juan, Puerto Rico with maximum sustained wind speeds at 35mph. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Dominican Republic from Santo Domingo to Cabo Engano.
Forecast models show this system becoming Tropical Storm Gabrielle Wednesday night or Thursday. With high pressure to the east and a dip in the jetstream to the west this weekend, the track of the system is aiming for Bermuda. On this path, we could see thunderstorms and possible downpours from ample tropical moisture being close to South Florida on Saturday and Sunday.
Additionally, a tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula and the southwestern part of the Gulf of Mexico still has a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.
Further Down the Road
A tropical wave over Africa is expected to move into the eastern Atlantic Ocean over the next few days with a low, 20%, chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 3-5 days.